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Competition
To assist investors and other interested parties in comparing global and US growth funds, we are also reporting performance on a rolling average annual total return basis (assuming annual compounding). As time goes by we may add other indices and funds in these categories to the tables below. Included in the tables are our portfolio performance results as of June 1, 2009 along with same for the hybrid index benchmark we reference to which is FTSE World Index™.
Occasionally, a table data entry will have a "n/a" value at that juncture because the requisite performance measurement data at one endpoint of the rolling time interval is not available close enough to the measurement time span cutoff. Refer to Performance Page for more details on table entities below and performance to date. For more information on construction of Pan Geo Global Index™, which currently is based on 66 countries, refer to the section with that heading on Performance Page.
| ROLLING AVERAGE ANNUAL TOTAL RETURN (unlevered) - ending June 1, 2009 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HYBRID GLOBAL INDEX/ FUND/ PORTFOLIO | 1 Yr % | 2 Yr % | 3 Yr % | 4 Yr % | 5 Yr % |
| Pan Geo Global Capital Appreciation Portfolio ™ | -43.0 | -20.0 | -2.0 | 3.9 | 4.4 |
| Pan Geo Global Index ™ | -83.7 | -48.6 | 5.5 | 14.6 | 14.6 |
| FTSE World Index ™ | -46.7 | -31.1 | -10.4 | -2.9 | -0.4 |
| MSCI All World Index ™ | -58.2 | -43.7 | -15.1 | -5.1 | -1.7 |
| ROLLING AVERAGE ANNUAL TOTAL RETURN (unlevered) - ending June 1, 2009 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HYBRID US INDEX / FUND / PORTFOLIO | 1 Yr % | 2 Yr % | 3 Yr % | 4 Yr % | 5 Yr % |
| Pan Geo 100% American Strength Growth Portfolio ™ | -27.9 | -3.7 | 3.3 | 6.5 | 6.1 |
| Equal weight hybrid - Nasdaq Comp, Russell 2000, S&P 500 ™ | -53.5 | -44.3 | -16.2 | -6.8 | -3.4 |
Forest Green Eco-Touring Countries™
| PAN GEO INVESTMENT ECO TABLE© - 45 Forest Green Eco-Touring Countries™ as of June 29, 2009. First published June 23, 2008. All rights reserved | ||
|---|---|---|
| Their current 2019 color-band level expectation (with expose): | MEMORANDA | ...but these countries 2019 color-band level tilts towards: |
| Portugal, Spain |
Portugal is green and clean and a great place to visit and tour around in
although parts of the country have unsafe water. Portugal derives 40% of its
power from renewable energy already and is developing wave energy sources that
ultimately could account for 20% of their grid power. Floating wind turbines to
be located far offshore are also in the works. Portugal
could be two-thirds reliant on renewable energy sources for electricity
somewhere in the 2020 to 2025 time frame. Portugal is building a national infrastructure for electric cars by 2011
including over one thousand recharging stations.
Spain has been a leader in implementing both wind and solar power generation and is still the number 3 wind power overall but will likely drop to 4th place by some time in 2010 due to the emergence of China. However, Spain expects to reach about one-quarter of its electrical load from renewable energy before 2010, with about half of that coming from wind installations. Spain now has at least 50 concentrated solar power projects slated to be up-and-running by 2015 making it a world leading nation in solar thermal energy production. | Portugal, Spain, Germany |
| Iceland | Iceland is an innocuous situation since they already generate more than 80% of their energy from natural geothermal and hydropower sources. Hydrogen sulfide gas emissions associated with geothermal power production have so far been more of a nuisance in Reykjavik, and hopefully, concentrations in the atmosphere will not increase further. Only about 1% of home heat derives from fossil fuel sources but transportation is more of a challenge. Many Icelanders' have lifestyles that squander huge amounts of energy, for example, driving gas pigs. So we think they still need to increase conservation and efficiency efforts. We realize the authorities in Iceland are, and have been for some time, actively-engaged in making Iceland a carbon-neutral country which is good news. Iceland had the first hydrogen fueling station and is now pushing use of fuel cell and electric vehicles. Its somewhat dubious to use renewable energy-generated electric power to produce hydrogen then to convert the hydrogen back to electricity to power electric vehicles and charge batteries. Iceland is developing a significant eco-tourism industry including geyser, fish and whale watching. Whale watching boats run on hydrogen. | Iceland |
| Sweden, Norway |
Both these countries have had a carbon tax since the prior
millennium which makes us wonder why so many other nations still do not have
one.
The latter need to get going on getting a GET (global externality tax), get it?
Scandinavian countries historically have had problems with acid rain affecting
their forests, lakes and rivers to the point that terrestrial habitat has been
lost and fish have disappeared. There has been significant water pollution
emanating directly from industrial waste and pesticides. Air pollution has
billowed into Scandinavia from external sources, in particular, from regions of
northwestern Russia and also from passing ships.
Sweden currently has the edge here in the race to be green as we see it due to a modest ecological footprint relative to its advanced state of industrialization and high standard of living. Sweden has miniscule reliance on fossil fuels for electric power, less than 5% overall. Nuclear energy and hydropower each provide about half of electric generating capacity. Sweden currently has about 40% renewable energy overall and is targeting 50% by 2020. It plans to add wind capacity and replace existing nuclear reactors with new ones, which we are uncertain about. Norway is one of the world's top five exporters of oil and gas and they continue to believe in the efficacy of underground carbon sequestration. We do not. Our position is very evident from many comments made herein at this website that the opportunity costs and environmental risks are unacceptable. Furthermore, Norway has made questionable carbon-intensive fossil fuel investments. However, Norway did succeed in reducing their greenhouse gas emissions by 2.2% in 2008 which is good performance. The goal of the government is to be 30% below 1990 levels by 2020 and to have zero net carbon releases by 2030. Norway is considering banning new purely-gasoline-powered automobiles starting in 2015. Norway has clearly been a worldwide leader on the environmental front especially in slowing deforestation and forest ecosystem degradation. Norway has funded and helped several countries develop plans for a greener future and they expend effort to have same act faster which is always refreshing to hear. Some 99% of their domestic energy for electricity comes from hydro power. Norway plans on developing significant wind power mostly for export. Norwegian industry are pioneering various demonstration efforts such as wind power being used to produce hydrogen so fuel cell energy can be tapped when the wind dies. Norway has a hydrogen highway, too. | Sweden, Norway |
| Germany, Switzerland, Austria, Liechtenstein | In the industries they have Germany, Switzerland and Austria are
among the most technologically-advanced, energy efficient and economically successful countries on
Earth. They have only a modest reliance on natural resource extraction and
processing industries. They are valiantly trying to reduce use of high-carbon fuels.
Germany is currently ranked second worldwide in installed wind power capacity and should finish 2009 in second place in solar energy use after the US. Germany has developed renewable energy sources for about 15% of its needs already, and are aiming to boost that percentage appreciably to 30% by 2020, perhaps to 45% by 2030 and to 95% by 2050 which is very commendable and hopeful for the future. We hope they can inspire others to follow their lead. However, erecting vast offshore wind generation capacity as planned in just a few years time will be a big challenge. Fossil fuel use in Germany was cut by nearly 6% in 2007 and carbon dioxide emissions by 2.4%. Further, Germany is aiming to reduce CO2 emissions 36% by 2020. Germany has seen a tremendous contribution from rooftop solar installations. We'd very much like to visit Marburg. However, we wonder what's going on in places like Grevenbroich and throughout the Rhine Valley for that matter? We are not really going to construct more coal-fired power stations are we? Coal still drives almost half of electricity generating capacity which is unacceptable. We think the days of pollution freebies are over, so Germany, the EU or any other jurisdiction should not encourage building of any new coal plants nor the hand-out of free carbon emissions permits to utilities or anyone else. The idea to mix coal with plant biomass is at best a stop-gap measure. The main problem that should be monitored is Germany remains too reliant on dirty brown lignite for power which must be ratcheted back or eliminated. There has been a move to greater use of bituminous coal rather than brown coal. Even though Germany is still in-line with its Kyoto commitments, hideous amounts of sulphur dioxide and nitrogen oxide belch from coal-burning power stations. The plan apparently in the EU generally is for this unsavory situation to continue until at least 2020. Its very conceivable Germany could be downgraded by us as they test our confidence limit with an ongoing commitment to coal especially in light of the fact Germany is historically the third highest per capita generator of climate warming pollution. We use tubas to trumpet an emphatic no to the idea of approving "capture ready" coal-fired power plants. Switzerland and Austria have predominant service sectors that generate relatively few pollutants. As such, their energy use per unit of output is comparable to that of Germany. Approximately two-thirds of electric power derives from hydro sources in both these countries. Switzerland's per capita carbon footprint remains too luxurious. Transportation and space heating emissions are too high. Perhaps there are too many log fireplaces burning. Austria still has too many coal and oil-fuelled power plants and industrial complexes. There are an overabundance of piggish trucks on the roads heading to this or that country in Europe. We think Austrians have the mindset to become very eco-conscious. We anticipate they will further reduce conspicuous consumption, the demands on their country's ecosystems and cut back on waste being generated. Tiny Liechtenstein is a story similar to Austria and Switzerland and their emissions have been heading down. | Switzerland, Austria, Liechtenstein |
| Argentina | Argentina is the first
country to require that companies have insurance sufficient to cover the
potential liability arising from significant possible and actual environmental
risks and hazards associated with their activities. Their population is
generally very commendably eco-conscious. This South American country has made
relatively modest demands on the planet's resources and ecosystems services
relative to its state of economic development and the
structure of their economy. Argentina is about
half-and-half dependent on fossil fuel and hydropower sources for electricity
generation, with a smattering of nuclear energy. There exists
a troublesome situation environmentally in Rosario. The concentration of
pollutants from industrial effluent, metals, chemicals and pesticides discharged
or swept into waterways has reached a level such that much water there is unsafe
to drink. We now know that methane concentrations in the atmosphere have increased globally since sometime during 2006. This news is very unwelcome and potentially alarming as methane is about 23 times as powerful a heat-trapping gas as carbon dioxide. Further, so far scientists do not appear to have a comprehensive answer as to why methane is again on the increase. The problem in Argentina is that somewhere between one-quarter and one-third of Argentina's total greenhouse gas emissions come from methane produced by livestock, especially cows. Argentina has about 50 million grazing ungulates and is a huge beef producer. Their cattle eat a lot of grass but that diet, as do the usual other cow diets observed across many countries, unfortunately generates a huge amount of methane belching. | Argentina |
| Democratic Republic of Congo, Rep. of Congo, Gabon, Guyana, Suriname | Our color scheme here is
brassy and greenish-brown which is to symbolize they are heading towards the
"green gold". We are in favor of a brass medal being awarded to the 4th place
finisher so to speak. We feel the world and the Olympics as a recurring
microcosm of the world, needs to continually parade inclusivity among its
primary objectives. After all, we are 200 plus countries and nearly 7 billion
people.
We believe the development paths to date of these four countries are very worthy of encouragement, patronage and support from all of us. We are big believers in environmental levies on the perpetrators of pollution. If we want the cost efficiencies associated with marketplace dynamics, our politicians have to have the backbone to stand up to one and all to let them know there is no other way than adopting cost accounting and financial analysis that includes external environmental costs. Otherwise, decision making will not be based on full cost accounting and the invisible hand of markets will not operate as intended. So, while we are pushing the GET as described later on this webpage, we are for anything that can help solve environmental problems before they become unmanageable. In principle, we support efforts in these areas of the world to pay for, and invest in, protection and conservation of nature. We need to preserve those rainforests. Its entirely possible for countries such as these to skip facets of their smokestack economic development and proceed directly to green chemistry, clean technologies, low-carbon power and eco-tourism. People are already working on advancing carbon trading type solutions for these places. Preservation of rainforests and biological diversity is critically important in each of these countries. Happily, so far ecosystems are largely intact and the population has not been overwhelming mother nature. Hydropower is well-developed so use of fossil fuels is relatively modest. Most people live in a limited number of large metro urban areas such as Brazzaville, Republic of Congo or Libreville, Gabon. Brazzaville has choking air pollution from old vehicles and inefficient industries. Also, the water is mostly undrinkable and dysentery remains a major cause of illness and untimely death. There is entrenched fighting and dislocation in eastern Democratic Republic of Congo which creates the conditions for localized pollution and deforestation from illegal or careless harvesting of natural resources. But it appears these activities have so far caused relatively modest environmental impacts relative to ecological carrying capacity. Guyana is another country where very promising conservation activity is expected to occur in a significant way. Guyanese are cooperating with other countries such as Norway to pioneer schemes to reduce deforestation and forest degradation in their country. Suriname has significant tropical rainforest and biodiversity that, for the most part, remains in tact. They rely on hydropower for three-quarters of their electricity production. | Democratic Republic of Congo, Rep. of Congo, Gabon, Guyana, Suriname |
| Fiji, Vanuatu, Samoa, Micronesia, Marshall Islands, Palau, Seychelles, Comoros | These six Pacific
Ocean and two Indian Ocean island chain countries have slow-moving, subsistence economies that
have very low carbon carbon economies and lifestyles. In varying degrees, they have become
accustomed to the extra wealth that tourists bring. Of course, we know flying
many people to and fro for short visits is not environmentally friendly.
However, their basic services, agricultural activities and natural
resource-based industries have allowed them a fairly high standard of living
given the topping up provided by a regular influx of visitors and development
assistance from external sources. Their relative
isolation in the world has by default given
rise to a situation where they have not for whatever set of reasons undertaken
intense economic development. They can vastly improve their green eco-touring
profiles by adjusting service offerings to encourage people to stay
longer, use more fuel-efficient means of transportation, reduce the need for air
conditioners, etc. Nevertheless, its not all kisses and roses in these places either. For example, in Fiji, the Qawa and Labwa rivers need to be cleaned up and industry straightened-out about exactly what they put into those rivers. They must realize people eat the fish and drink the water from there so why pollute it so much? Historically, Fiji has allowed very-high-sulphur-diesel fuel grades to be burned. They should reduce sulphur levels allowed in the atmosphere to far below the current 500 parts per million. In Seychelles, half the land area is protected as they have been environmentally friendly for a long time already. They plan to keep developers from being overzealous. Rightfully, increased domestic food production should be a higher priority than having more tourist spots. Comoros can improve its balance of payments and get off current heavy reliance on fossil fuels for power by developing geothermal energy from volcanoes. | Fiji, Vanuatu, Samoa, Micronesia, Marshall Islands, Palau, Seychelles, Comoros |
| Paraguay, Uruguay, Bolivia | These relatively-small Latin American countries fire their electric power almost
entirely from hydroelectricity except for Bolivia, which is only about half
hydropower sources and half from fossil fuels. Their economies have not developed very fast
which can be a blessing in disguise due to fewer environmental impacts.
Small-scale and subsistence agriculture remains the backbone for their
economies. There is also basic manufacturing and natural resource industries.
Paraguay exports huge amounts of electric power. It has had a moratorium on deforestation such that the vast majority of illegal logging has already been curtailed. We are less enamored with Bolivia due mostly to our skepticism and uncertainty regarding their state economic development plans in the Amazon Basin and elsewhere. But, for now, their environmental record appears to be good enough with respect to the ability of Bolivia's natural areas to remain vital despite various human activities. However, we wonder and worry that as the government gets increasingly involved mucking around in more and more segments, gray days are very possibly in the future for Bolivia. Better to let private enterprises operate and have regulators, government and police monitor and ride herd on them to ensure they perform and do not unduly degrade the environment in the course of doing business there. For example, in the development of lithium carbonate resources, processing of it could potentially lead to unacceptable emissions of noxious chemicals like sulphur dioxide. Bolivia also has significant untapped gas reserves. These reserves may be needed because the outlook for hydropower is not so rosey. Bolivia already has big water scarcity problems arising from disappearance of more than three-quarters of key glaciers. Vast glaciers and snowpack areas in existence since before the last Ice Age over 10,000 years ago have melted away. | Paraguay, Uruguay, Bolivia |
| Nepal, Bhutan, Laos |
These three countries are situated like peas in a pod geographically in close
proximity to, or in, Indochina.
Subsistence agriculture occupies most people and hydropower generates virtually
all electric power. Carbon footprints in these countries are quite miniscule.
There still exists asphyxiating levels of smoke, soot, dust and other aerosols
and pollutants from forest fires, agricultural burning, industrial emissions and
civic waste-streams from transport, cooking, burning refuse and more.
In Nepal, routine slash-and-burn blazes in bone-dry conditions have inadvertently spread and raging wildfires have devastated mid-altitude and high elevation forests. Nepal has already documented increased carbon emissions from its soil and longer-living, more prolific insects and bacteria due to incremental increase in temperature affecting their valleys, plains and other arable land at lower elevations. Particulate levels soar in Kathmandu most of the time. The poor people of these countries may now keep one eye on the food bowl, the other on swollen glacial lakes at risk of bursting in the Himalayas or plateau areas somewhere upstream. Deforestation from overuse of wood as a fuel and the apparent lack of any alternative for so many people could mean the current pattern of degradation, mass wasting and soil erosion will be difficult to stop. Predicaments like the aforementioned could end disastrously for many people in these countries if floods result. Not only from flash flooding, there are problems with contamination of the water supply so potable water is hard to come by. These three economies are still at the beginning stages of development which often means installations and powered-infrastructure are inefficient, outdated. Infrastructure is limited especially in rural, remote and high-elevation areas. These days, lack of industrialization should be perceived as an opportunity: the conception now is to skip smokestack infrastructure and industrial development and proceed directly to low-carbon economic development. Conserve the ecosystems that remain before its too late. Fortunately, these three countries are magnets for tourists, in particular, more adventurous or eco-conscious ones. So with some external help, they have half-a-chance to bypass reliance on gross, inefficient, polluting industrialization and fossil fuel use in favor of mostly-clean power and a heavily services-oriented structure and way of life. | Nepal, Bhutan |
| Maldives, Kiribati, Tuvalu, Tonga, The Bahamas, Antigua & Barbuda, Dominica | We have a fifth place
finish level in this Table now with racing silks that reflect the colors of the
silicon medal we would award them. In general, the people of the countries
(listed to the left) live quite parsimoniously with respect to use of energy.
However, the destiny of their progeny appears to be in the hands of others in
faraway lands which must cause anxiety. Sadly, environmental degradation of
their land and the contiguous continental shelf areas plus submersion due to
global warming-induced rise of sea level is evident already.
Maldives now has an ambitious plan to be carbon-neutral in about a decade. Solar and wind power are slated to replace widespread reliance on fossil fuels. Maldives has experienced depletion of freshwater aquifers as supply is utilized and saltwater incursions continue to transgress inland. Vast tracts of land at elevations less than two meters above sea level leaves residents here in a precarious position. As we have noted on this webpage, Kiribati is in big danger from global rise of sea level and, as a corollary, having their lagoon latrines flushed for them by the incursion of saltwater. The authorities of Kiribati are currently looking for some kind of escape hatch for their people and we can fully understand that viewpoint. Similarly, Tuvalu is in big trouble due to threat of submergence of their coral atolls which have pretty meager elevation relative to current sea level. The submergence risk meter is also reading perilously-high in the long term view for Tonga. The vast majority of land in The Bahamas is at an elevation less than two meters above sea level so the risk of inundation is quite worrisome here. As well, Antigua and Barbuda is mostly low lying area. Dominica is very vulnerable to flash floods and hurricanes. However, they do have significant highland areas where people can put into effect a minimalist solution to storm surges by seeking refuge there if need be. | Maldives, Kiribati, Tuvalu, Tonga, The Bahamas, Antigua & Barbuda, Dominica |
| Mauritius, Solomon Islands, Sri Lanka, Dominican Republic, Jamaica, Barbados, St. Kitts - Nevis, St. Lucia, Grenada | Various chemical runoff and
the extra heating and acidity of marine water has resulted in deterioration of
coastal ecosystems. The acidity of surface ocean water generally has increased
by about one-third since pre-industrial times. Coral reefs have been bleached or
are inflicted with disease to the point where not much of it has vitality today.
Worldwide, coral reefs are being lost at the rate of about 2% per year. Beyond
2050, there is currently very little hope for their survival. With the loss of
reefs goes about half of fish species that lived in that reef ecosystem.
Mauritius and Solomon Islands have many degraded coral reefs or ones that have already met their demise. The 2004 Boxing Day tsunami had a devastating impact on Sri Lanka. It was not related to global warming, rather to an earthquake subsea. Renewable energy sources comprise only about 4% of energy use, however, they aim for a 10% share by 2017. Sri Lanka has various problems with industrial effluents, sewage and groundwater contamination. Kidney ailments have become widespread. Dengue and rat fever, hepatitis and more abound near various garbage dumps. In Sedawatte near Colombo, a public hygiene disaster scene hangs like an albatross around the necks of residents. Dominican Republic, Barbados and Jamaica may be representative of countries where coral reefs are deteriorating rapidly in the Caribbean, along with the vitality of every industry that depends on the reef ecosystem such as the commercial fishery, beachfront retail and real estate and tourism generally. Agricultural productivity could be impaired up to 25% according to one local source. Of course, coral reefs are like mangrove swamps in providing a natural barrier to protect the coast from the full brunt of tidal surges or the storm surges and gale force winds associated with hurricanes.Jamaica's emissions have been somewhat high on a per capita basis relative to other island economies and deforestation has run amok. So far, Jamaica has only about 6% of electricity arising from renewable energy sources but it will likely increase markedly in the years to come with the advent of waste-to-energy plants and biodiesel projects. We strongly suggest Jamaican industry do not use coal to fuel their operations. Solar water heating is widespread in Barbados already. St. Kitts - Nevis have plans to construct partially-collapsible wind farms that can withstand hurricanes. Wind energy is to power 40% of their electrical grid. This should dramatically-cut overall use of dirty diesel fuel. St. Lucia and Grenada should stop listening to eco-risk-taking fossil fuel madcaps pushing high-carbon, syrupy stuff like charcoal, oil, etc. Instead, start banana briquette businesses to help fuel your own economic future and reduce emissions, too! Then trumpet what you did to the world because we think tourists will adore you for it. | Mauritius, Solomon Islands, Dominican Republic, St. Kitts - Nevis, St. Lucia, Grenada |
| France, Lithuania, Monaco, Andorra, Finland, Belgium | France is aiming to
implement a carbon tax on some goods and services by 2011 which is good news. At
this juncture, we do not know how to
assess reliance on nuclear energy. In France, nuclear plants account for about
80% of contributions to the power grid. Certainly, the nuclear waste problem
has not gone away nor have the particular risks associated with nuclear power
plants, fuel processing, reprocessing and enrichment, use of prodigious amounts
of coolants and the potential for contamination and radiation. That is why
France has an orange box here because we now have no overall assessment for
them.
Ditto for the rest here including Lithuania where more than three-quarters of electric power is based on nuclear energy. Monaco imports its electricity from France and Andorra from France and Spain so we also include them here. We recognize they are on a path to become carbon-neutral. As nuclear technology improves, there exists the possibility of reusing nuclear fuel and waste such that the amount of nuclear waste material that ultimately remains as a byproduct of nuclear power generation decreases markedly and becomes less hazardous to handle, store, dispose of and reintegrate into the Earth's environment. In Finland, about one-fifth of electric power comes from hydro sources and about 40% from fossil fuels. One-third of power comes from nuclear plants. In Belgium, they are driven some 60% by nuclear energy. | France, Lithuania, Monaco, Andorra, Finland, Belgium |
Dusty, Sandy Brown Afflicted Countries™
| PAN GEO INVESTMENT ECO TABLE© - 46 Dusty, Sandy Brown Afflicted Countries™ as of June 29, 2009. First published Dec. 9, 2007. All rights reserved. | ||
|---|---|---|
| Their current 2019 color-band level expectation (with expose): | MEMORANDA | ...but these countries 2019 color-band level tilts towards: |
| Japan | We do not know how to
appraise Japan's leaning towards further development of nuclear energy. Fourth
generation nuclear technology and small reactors may well be part of the solution. Their
intermediate-term plans seem to push nuclear's total to 40% of all electricity generation.
Japan has pledged to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by about 70% by 2050 but we
would like to see an ambitious 10 year objective especially since greenhouse gas
emissions have been going up in Japan not down. The artificial
process of apparently-cutting pollution by offsetting to another country in
general will not cut the mustard with us though such transference potentially
has a role. Some say little or no absolute reductions in greenhouse gases will
result from these projects which is devastating if true. We are never against
capabilities and mechanisms being set up in case we need them. However, any
diversion of purpose from holding polluters' collective feet to the hot coals to
have them reduce their pollution very soon now or drop out of the energy
business, to us, is distracting, counterproductive and circumventing greenwash. We need absolute reductions and big ones from the most egregious polluters and we need it soon. Being 8% below 1990 levels by 2020 is too weak-kneed an objective especially if you are the fifth biggest greenhouse gas emitter on Earth and have population density on the high-side. A 2% improvement in commitment spread over about 10 years? We don't think so. Very soon now we all have to reduce expected greenhouse gases by at least that amount each and every year until at least 2050 or Mother Earth will be on her knees. Relying on corporate volunteering to solve global climate change is woefully inadequate and, we believe, is apt to end disastrously if pursued as general policy. We like how Japan are quantifying industrial pollution targets for various sectors but we need teeth in implementation not dipsey-doodling around. Japan produces little fossil fuels and places a hearty tax on use of fossil fuel even though they remain approximately 60% dependent on fossil fuels for electric power. We very much look forward to seeing eco-rigs off Japan's coast! Being situated along the Pacific Rim of Fire, Japan has more than 100 active volcanoes. Belatedly, various Japanese entities are beginning to become serious about developing Japan's geothermal power sources. Japan needs to ramp up utilization of renewable energy beyond 15% by 2019. Japan currently generates about 10% of its electricity needs from renewable sources and relies on nuclear power for about 30% of total electrical output. It now has a solar energy feed-in tariff scheme to promote small-scale returns of power to the electrical grid. No diesel-burning vehicles are allowed in Tokyo, period. Of course, Japan is known around the world for its pioneering hybrid gas-electric and fuel cell automobiles. There already are some hydrogen highways in Japan so fuel cell cars are on the road there. We also have millions of e-bikes on the streets of Japan. | Japan |
| El Salvador, Guatemala, Nicaragua, Honduras, Panama, Belize, Costa Rica | These settings are
generally vulnerable to extreme weather events. To worsen the impact of such
events, there is too much
deforestation and erosion in Central America arising from stripping, clearing, hacking,
slashing, burning, plundering and/or mismanagement of natural resources and
protective ecosystems. Various
waterways are very polluted. Civil strife in some localities adds to the woes.
The new mathematics comes with this theorem: If you cheat the
environment, you cheat all life forms in that environment (including yourself).
The corollary is many more tourists come to visit a pristine environment. Belize and Panama have challenges resulting from more rapid development and tourism. Then there is the Panama Canal and all the sulfate aerosols associated with ship traffic burning bunker fuel. Nicaragua's water is suspect and you are discouraged from drinking water from, or swimming in, Lake Managua any time soon. The consequences would not be pretty - you would be at considerable risk of coming away with malaria, dengue fever or some sort of diarrheal disease. San Jose has serious air pollution including ozone, particulates and even the potential neurotoxin, manganese. We think the key to cutting greenhouse gas emissions here is to motivate Costa Ricans to use bicycles, hybrid electric bikes, mass transportation and fuel efficient vehicles. Hydropower accounts for some 80% of electricity generation and further development of geothermal energy from hot volcanic sources is planned. We understand Costa Ricans have grandiose plans to become carbon-neutral by 2021. Costa Rica has been something of a pioneer in recognizing the monetary value of ecosystem services. For a relatively small country, there are lots of tourists jetting in and out which is problematic for emissions totals attributable to Costa Rica. Costa Ricans do have mechanisms for incoming tourists to reduce their guilt by paying for preservation of their rainforests about $5 per ton of estimated carbon emissions generated from travelling. We recognize that people in Costa Rica plant millions of plants, shrubs and trees every year and incentivize protection of forests. However, they still need to dissuade many poachers and encroachers. Overly rapid real estate and plantation development in Costa Rica is said to have created conditions that led to elimination of about one half the monkeys in the country. Widespread application of agricultural chemicals needs to be curtailed. | El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Panama, Belize, Costa Rica |
| Albania, Montenegro | Here is another situation, all else being equal, where lagging behind in economic development of the smokestack variety works in favor of transitioning to a green, clean future. Fewer status quo old economy types to get in the way of change. Both countries have relied on hydropower for the lion's share of electricity production. Albania has suffered from energy shortages. Recently, they have fired up a new thermal facility which compromises their environmental picture somewhat. Montenegro has relatively high per capita energy use due to its dominant aluminum industry. However, they have significant green ecotourism potential and their environmental problems have remained quite benign. | Albania, Montenegro |
| Angola, Equatorial Guinea, Sao Tome and Principe | Angola and Equatorial
Guinea are
new oil powers that have historically depended on natural resources like
minerals and timber to drive their economies. There has been much conflict and
corruption in the past but they have much more money now than ever before. So
they are now in the enviable position of having the means to enable them to get
into position to prevail in the endless struggle to prevent potential
catastrophic and incremental degradation of the natural environment. Compared to many countries in this Table, it
appears within their grasp to
solve many infrastructure, wanton pollution and socioeconomic issues such as better
education, equal opportunity and more equitable income distribution. For
example, there should not be cholera outbreaks that recur again and again, or
that are not remediated even though the threat of flooding episodes may be
always with them especially in precariously-situated places such as Luanda. It should be high priority for most people to have access to
toilets and potable water. Deforestation should be contained, rolled back and
reforestation commenced. Watch closely what resource extracting companies are
doing. Make laws, rules and regulations such that it is not more feasible for
any entity or person to pollute than to prevent or treat the waste streams they
generate. If it is impossible to stop environmental degradation of some kind,
make them pay for that externality they are responsible for in their
profiteering. Therefore, the full cost of addressing the problem can be
bankrolled and attended to later perhaps when a new environmental or health
facility, technology or power source is funded and put in place. We trust and
expect countries like these two to be diligent, take action and rise off this
Table altogether, to become green.
Sao Tome and Principe has had few resources but the possibility of sudden change for the better is very real due to its position in Gulf of Guinea vis-a-vis offshore oil prospects. Assuming they are not manhandled by the rough and tumble oil business, they have a chance to develop nicely similar to Angola and Equatorial Guinea but lagging them in time. | Angola, Equatorial Guinea, Sao Tome and Principe |
| Rwanda, Malawi, Burundi, Swaziland, Lesotho | Rwanda, Malawi and
Burundi have poor, basic agricultural subsistence economies that rely on hydro
power to a large extent, so fossil fuel use and carbon emissions from
electricity generation, industry or transportation are insignificant. They do
not consume or pollute much but their countries have limited ecological carrying
capacities. The majority of Burundi's population cannot feed themselves enough
now so it is time to cut back on population growth. Deforestation has been
nearly wholesale in Burundi and has been devastating for Rwanda, too.
Let's set aside our tendency to cut down the next tree for wood as fuel. Instead, we encourage these countries to seriously-entertain widespread use of sun-dried banana briquettes made from compressed banana peels, banana leaves, banana stems and sawdust. This banana-based fuel apparently burns cleanly, slowly and evenly so it's suitable for cooking and space heating. Contact Nottingham University engineers in UK about it because they could very well be onto something very promising in this regard. Sometimes all there is left to fear about change is change itself because the new and better way is right there before you. About one quarter of Rwanda's people do not have access to water that is safe to drink, however, programs are apparently in place to help most of the population solve this dilemma by 2012. Drought has also affected Lesotho and Swaziland. Where there is a shortage of useable water, a food shortage may soon follow. Swaziland is in an especially vulnerable position. The incidence of malaria has been high. Hopefully, we will not have an epidemic of cholera spreading in from Zimbabwe. Swaziland's carbon footprint is near zero per capita and Lesotho's is very modest indeed. | Rwanda, Malawi, Burundi, Swaziland, Lesotho |
| Cameroon, Senegal, Ghana, Cote d'Ivoire, Mauritania, Cape Verde, The Gambia, Guinea-Bissau, Guinea, Togo, Benin, Liberia | This category is unusual
and alarming in its own right because environmental impacts are apparently
contributing to creation of newly-hungry people in West Africa. Deforestation
and desertification are present here, too. Wooded savannah areas of West African
countries such as Cameroon are increasingly giving way to desert as grazing continues and more and
more trees are cut and stripped for charcoal production or firewood. Moreover, there are other factors
including overgrazing, soil erosion, poaching, loss of mangroves and wetlands, energy and food inflation,
changes in rainfall and flood patterns and reduced flow and carrying capacity of
rivers that contribute to shortages of fish catches, grains and other food for
many people. As budgets for fuel and food are reduced, reforestation efforts
tend to be put off. Cameroon still managed to plant about 2 million trees in
2008 and 3 million are to be planted in 2009 so hope is alive. The green wall
project across the Sahel to try to stop further desertification is perhaps a
meter high in Senegal right now. We think this undertaking should be expanded into a green corridor, that is, to be much
wider and longer than it is now. Its a great example of what should receive
funding or qualify for help via carbon credits given that its incremental afforestation with a crucial, noble objective that could conceivably pay off in
spades one day. The squeeze play is not limited to encroaching desert, it also
involves encroaching ocean: the Senegal coastline loses on average about 1 meter
per year of land to erosion and rising sea level. Senegal has historically been heavily dependent on oil-driven
power generation. However, there are plans and hopes to move to solar power.
Solar stoves, cookers and water heaters are starting to replace other dirty, indoor-polluting energy
sources such as wood. Micro-sized lead smelting activities undertaken out of
desperation for money should be stopped; children have been dying from exposure
to fumes and dust from this grimy, grubstake activity.
Ghana has lost a lot of valuable habitat such that only one-quarter of tropical forest lands remain. Tap water, or lack thereof, has even become a big issue even in Accra. Vast regions of Ghana's Volta Delta are vulnerable to marine incursion as the ocean rises by about two centimeters each year. Further, places like Ghana and Ivory Coast have become e-waste dumps, places where youth rub mercury in their hands to ready some electronic junk for burning to extract a fleck of gold. They have unhealthy exposure to cadmium, lead, flame retardants and other noxious chemicals, metals and airborne combustion by-products only to gain a little copper or iron for sale. The hacking, slashing and cutting of vegetation historically in Cote d'Ivoire has left only some miserable fraction of the plant kingdom that once existed. Let's hope that next we don't have river blindness spreading anew in Ivory Coast. The people of Mauritania, Cape Verde, Gambia, Guinea-Bissau, Togo and Liberia consume very little energy so contribute negligibly to global warming. In Mauritania, their deforestation presents one of the grimmest settings in all of Africa. Sandstorms, high winds and drought episodes are often acute, driving people in desperation to cut down more trees, exacerbating the situation. Cape Verde suffers from prolonged drought episodes, seasonal dust storms, soil erosion, deforestation and a serious lack of potable water. In The Gambia, a riparian society, water-borne diseases and ailments have been especially prevalent. In Guinea-Bissau, people watch out for the water contact disease, schistosomiasis among others. The Gambia, mostly a flood plain of the Gambia River, and Guinea-Bissau, a coastal plain area where the lowlands stretch far inland, have more than just deforestation, overfishing and overgrazing to worry about. The most ominous situation they face may well be the Atlantic Ocean submergence threat that lingers. Your address is only as valuable now as the height above global sea level you are perched at in cities like Banjul, The Gambia, Bissau, Guinea-Bissau and Nouakchott, Mauritania which is already prone to flooding. Incidences of flash flooding affect sanitation and agricultural productivity directly and lead to spreading of various diseases. Guinea is likewise in deep blue trouble due to the formidable impact of global warming. Its low-lying coastal plain includes the major city, Conakry, right on the coast. Togo and Benin are very reliant on river water quality, too. They also need to watch out for poachers. In Liberia, only about one third of the population has access to water fit to drink or cook with. The vast majority of people here still lack access to basic washroom facilities or attempt to share a public toilet with literally thousands of other people. Moreover, their numbers are going up and up. Population pressure compounds their challenges and ability to keep expanding the infrastructure and public services they now have. Liberia has recently faced a horrifying infestation of caterpillars meaning the useable water supply deteriorated further due to contamination from caterpillar ends and bacteria. | Cameroon, Senegal, Ghana, Cote d'Ivoire, Mauritania, Cape Verde, The Gambia, Guinea-Bissau, Guinea, Togo, Benin, Liberia |
| Niger, Mali, Chad, Ethiopia, Burkina Faso, Eritrea, Central African Republic, Sierra Leone | Homo sapiens cannot survive more
than about one week without water. Rainfall in the Sahel belt across the southern
perimeter of the Sahara Desert has decreased by one-quarter in little more than
a generation. The flow of the Niger River, whose drainage area covers one-third
of west Africa, has been reduced by about one-half due to population demands on
it, climate change, drought, desertification, siltation and pollution. Also
further east in Mali, Chad and Ethiopia, lake-sized areas of water have
evaporated, been used up or diverted in recent times. Loss of water has been
directly linked to overuse, particularly by the overzealous irrigating of cash
crops. Overfishing and overgrazing adds to the woes. The fact that charcoal
remains the only half-decent source of affordable heating energy in many regions
here further compounds the problems as more trees are cut down to produce it. For all these reasons plus global warming, Lake Chad is drying up
as the Sahara Desert advances southward and rainfall lessens. We
have heard the remaining water is now about 15% the area it was a generation or
two ago. At times, it recedes to as little as
2% the surface area it was in times passed. Instead of more water, murky gray marshland abounds.
Given that it takes up to 1000 mass units of water to produce one mass unit of food, can more hunger be that far removed for the people of these countries? There has not been enough rainfall or water available in Ethiopia. Ethiopia apparently now has some 3 million people on the brink of malnutrition and 100,000 already severely malnourished, many of them helpless children. Clearly, help is very much needed in these places, not for people to look the other way. The fertility rate in Mali is apparently over 7 and in Ethiopia has reached 5.0 children per woman. Clearly, bearing children is at an unsustainable level, as a dramatic overtaxing of natural resources results. Burkina Faso also appears to have too-high birth rates. With all this happening, you can hardly expect to add a 3% population growth rate in many of these areas and come away with any conclusion other than that some new macro-scale crisis will emerge before long. Foul air from vehicles often adds to the challenges of surviving in places like Bamako, Mali and Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso. In Eritrea, deforestation, desertification and soil erosion is serious enough that it could end up like Sudan if they are not careful. As the specter of climate alteration unfolds and heat and water stresses are insidiously and relentlessly ratcheted up, the pastoralist way of life is increasingly coming under assault ecologically. In response, shepherds move their herds here and there ever-faster in search of viable water, shade and grazing areas. An estimated 2 billion or more people worldwide are not able to use water for personal hygiene. The people of these seven countries are among about three-quarters of a billion in more than 40 countries worldwide who suffer from inadequate sanitation, a public health problem whose solution is often compounded by shortages of fresh water. As time goes by and global warming contributes to increased deforestation, drought, desertification, soil erosion and salt content on land and in water, all else being equal, water management shortcomings and human health afflictions in this region are expected to worsen. In general in these nation states, much water is contaminated through lack of latrines and introduction of raw sewage into the waterways eventually causing transmission of numerous water-borne diseases. Many major cities are among the most unsanitary locations on Earth. The vast majority of diseases including cholera, typhoid and diarrhea-related ones arise due to poor sanitation. Life expectancy is reduced and infant and child mortality and morbidity are very prevalent especially in Niger, Ethiopia, Sierra Leone and Central African Republic. Malaria abounds, for example, in Sierra Leone, one of the least developed countries on Earth. Freetown is yet another West African city teetering on the brink of inundation as they face their next extreme weather event and storm surge. Hope is re-emerging for almost-all people of Sierra Leone as they obtain access to electricity for the first time. | Niger, Mali, Chad, Ethiopia, Burkina Faso, Eritrea, Central African Republic, Sierra Leone |
| Papua New Guinea, Timor-Leste | Papua New Guinea has
troubles with deforestation of tropical rainforest: an estimated one-quarter has
been removed or degraded already and half could be gone by 2020. Intentional
burning of peatlands and rainforests remains too-widespread in Papua New Guinea.
Dealing with the "morning after" implications of free-for-all mining activity in
this frontier country has brought much pollution-related grief for its people. Timor-Leste
has a slash-and-burn mentality that persists.
Both these countries are underdeveloped. We think a future with Congolese-type sustainable forest ecosystems should be pursued whereby natural resource extractors and harvesters are held in abeyance to a significant extent in exchange for an external stream of payments and inducements. The focus should be on further development of cottage industries and ecotourism. | Papua New Guinea, Timor-Leste |
| Italy, Netherlands |
Italy's plan to increase its coal reliance to about one-third of the country's needs, more than double what it is now, is a marked regression that is all-but-certain to deliver further avoidable pummeling to mother ship Earth. There are also serious garbage processing problems in southern Italy emanating from both domestic and foreign sources of waste. Milan is reputed to be the most polluted city in Europe; deadly micrometer-sized particulate matter has escalated to concentrations that are very high by EU standards. However, the outlook is not all bleak. Solar energy capacity in Italy during 2008 ramped-up faster than virtually every other country spurred on by government subsidies that encourage solar power. Italy is now considered to be a prime candidate in the short run to have solar power reach grid parity with fossil fuels including gas which is now widely used for electric power generation. This will include both photovoltaic and concentrating solar thermal energy. Italy has had a modicum of geothermal power for a long time. They are also setting the stage for development of significant wind and biomass sources of renewable energy. All these promising initiatives should speed the decline not expansion of carbon-intensive fuels in Italy. Netherlands now has a plan to go from less than 5% renewable sources of energy to 20% by 2020 which is good news. The country's land area is about one-quarter below sea level already so its likely the population will force greening especially from those who live in the vulnerable port city of Rotterdam. | Italy, Netherlands, United Kingdom |
About Pan Geo Investment Inc., PI2™
We offer our unique portfolio investment advisory service directly to investors via this website. At this site, you are able to order the latest results from the powerful and comprehensive Portfolio Investor 2009 © program ("PI2"). Based on the specification of thousands of variables and settings, PI2 has the capability to create tens of millions of different portfolios that range from being global in scope to local. By providing advice efficiently and effectively to end users about a prospective portfolio of securities, customers are able to take action to invest in those assets directly. PI2 also facilitates greater control over portfolio investment decision-making including investment strategy, portfolio diversification, taxes, fees and the timing of buying and selling investments. By owning securities directly as opposed to holding only the units or shares of a fund company, tax fairness is generally enhanced, expenses are reduced and pride and responsibility associated with ownership increases.
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